Nov. 5, 2002 Online Since 1996 Vol 77 No. 18
War on Iraq: Ill-advised from any perspective

COMMENTARY
David Forbes
SGA Beat

   “To announce that there must be no criticism of the President, or that we are to stand by the President right or wrong, is not only unpatriotic and servile but is morally treasonable to the American public.”
    -Theodore Roosevelt
    Question: What do the director of the CIA, Jesse Jackson, four retired top-ranking generals, most of our allied nations, many of the American people and the late Senator Paul Wellstone have in common?
    Answer: All believe the U.S. attacking Iraq alone is a bad idea.
    I’m hardly what anyone would qualify as a dove. While I believe war is always destructive and wrong, I think it is sometimes necessary in cases where not going to war would result in even worse destruction and horrors.
    I have argued, in this space and elsewhere, in support of U.S. military action in Afghanistan after 9-11, where the Taliban was directly linked to Al-Qaeda. I support the state of Israel, albeit not all of its actions. I still believe there should be a war on terrorism, though not one that destroys the very civil liberties we’re supposed to be defending.
    But I think an attack on Iraq now would be wrong, devastating and would cause terrorism to grow rather than doing anything to stop it.
    While I wouldn’t mind seeing Saddam Hussein dead and the Iraqi people free, that’s not really the issue here. The world is full of brutal despots, some of whom are our allies. To justify a war against Iraq in particular, it needs to pose a clear and present danger.
    The Bush administration has accused Saddam of developing chemical and biological weapons, wanting nuclear weapons and generally being a nasty, evil person. This should not be news to anyone who has been awake during the past decade; why does this suddenly justify a war now?
    Unlike a decade ago, when Iraq possessed a large army and was threatening the region, Iraq today is devastated and not really in a position to invade anyone.
    The Bush administration said it has an abundance of evidence that Iraq is a current threat but hasn’t shown the public anything new. While I don’t expect every war plan to be revealed, if there is such abundant evidence that Iraq needs to be stopped now, why not show us enough to support their case?
    Simply expecting a people to support a war because a leader says it should is not a rationale that citizens of a free country should ever accept.
    In fact, 49 percent of the American people don’t accept it, according to polls conducted by Time. magazine.
    However, it is true that I don’t have access to much of the information on Iraq, but what about those who do, what about the commanders and officials who have been dealing with this for years?
    George Tenet, director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), has said Saddam is unlikely to attack or use chemical weapons unless he feels he is immediately threatened with being removed from power.
    At Congressional hearings, four former military commanders warned that the cost of invading Iraq could be very high and that war should be a last resort.
    General John Hoar, former commander of U.S. forces in the Middle East, warned of a “nightmare scenario.”
    “The result would be high casualties on both sides, as well as in the civilian community. U.S. forces would certainly prevail, but at what cost, and at what cost as the rest of the world watches while we bomb and have artillery rounds exploded in densely populated Iraqi neighborhoods,” Hoar said.
    The cost, I believe, would be many new recruits for organizations like Al-Qaeda, who are the real threat here, along with the shattering of the international alliance against terrorism, and thousands of dead, both American and Iraqi. This is not an outcome anyone should wish for, and one that must be opposed.
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